Butterfly Spread: The Surgical Strike
When you know exactly where price will land, the butterfly pays better than anything else. The structure, the variants, and the read that justifies the trade.
Frequently asked questions
What is a butterfly spread?
Three strikes, four contracts, all in the same expiration. Long one wing, short two middle, long the other wing — equally spaced. The trade profits if the underlying pins at the middle (body) strike at expiration. Low cost, defined risk, high reward-to-cost ratio when it works.
When does a butterfly make more sense than an iron condor?
When you have a specific price target. The condor wins inside a range; the butterfly wins at a specific level. If dealer GEX shows a clear magnet strike, the butterfly centered on that strike can pay 5-10x on a small debit.
What's a broken-wing butterfly?
A butterfly with uneven wing widths — the upper wing is wider than the lower (or vice versa). This shifts the breakeven and can sometimes be set up for a net credit. Useful when you want directional bias inside the structure.
How do I pick the body strike?
Two strong methods. (1) Dealer GEX Magnet Strike — the strike with the largest absolute gamma. Dealers' hedging pulls price there. (2) Prior open interest concentration — where retail and institutional flow has clustered. Both methods agree about 70% of the time.
What's the catch?
Probability. A standard butterfly has a narrow profit zone. If your magnet strike thesis is wrong by even one strike, you take the full debit loss. The trade is binary in a way condors aren't. Size accordingly — butterflies are explicitly small-position, high-conviction bets.
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